Field and Lookin At Lucky co-favorites in final Derby Future Wager

Horseracing Betting Lines

03/28/2010 - Louisville, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The third and final Kentucky Derby Future Wager closed with a pair of co-favorites and one other betting interest in single digits.

The mutuel field and champion colt Lookin At Lucky both finished at odds of 9-2 while 5-1 morning-line favorite Eskendereya held steady at his opening odds.

Lookin At Lucky, trained by Bob Baffert, won the Rebel Stakes earlier this month at Oaklawn Park and is expected to start in Saturday's Santa Anita Derby. The colt was second in last year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile and was voted 2009 champion two-year-old male. He was 6-1 in the morning-line.

The mutuel field, which included all three-year-olds not listed in the pool, was 8-1 in the morning-line. A bet on the field included the winners from Saturday's two major stakes. The Lane's End Stakes was won by Dean's Kitten and Mission Impazible took the Louisiana Derby.

Trainer Todd Pletcher's Eskendereya won the Fountain of Youth by more than eight-lengths at Gulfstream Park last month. He is being pointed to the Wood Memorial at Aqueduct on April 3.

The 136th Kentucky Derby will be conducted on Saturday, May 1 at Churchill Downs.

Here is the complete list of the 24 betting interests for the final Kentucky Derby Future Wager.

Number Wagering Interest Morning line odds Final odds:

1. Aikenite 50-1 55-1

2. Alphie's Bet 15-1 46-1

3. Awesome Act 15-1 13-1

4. Caracortado 20-1 27-1

5. Connemara 20-1 75-1

6. Conveyance 20-1 19-1

7. Discreetly Mine 20-1 44-1

8. Dublin 15-1 18-1

9. Eskendereya 5-1 5-1

10. Homeboykris 50-1 70-1

11. Ice Box 12-1 19-1

12. Interactif 20-1 26-1

13. Jackson Bend 30-1 46-1

14. Lookin At Lucky 6-1 9-2

15. Make Music for Me 30-1 40-1

16. Noble's Promise 12-1 19-1

17. Odysseus 20-1 18-1

18. Pleasant Prince 20-1 38-1

19. Rule 20-1 30-1

20. Schoolyard Dreams 30-1 44-1

21. Sidney's Candy 15-1 22-1

22. Super Saver 20-1 35-1

23. Tempted to Tapit 50-1 45-1

24. All Other 3YOs (field) 8-1 9-2

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Pacific-10 Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Stanford

Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.

Should be in:

Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.

Southeastern Conference odds
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State

It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.

Work left to do:

Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.

Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.

Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile.

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SPORTS BETTING

NFL Football Betting Online

In terms of sports wagering, the NFL is "the most popular game in town." The explanation behind that is easy.

It is called the "pointspread."

Many years ago, NFL games, as well as the more popular college games, used straight odds as a vehicle for betting. For example, if the Bears were playing the Giants, and it shaped up as a competitive contest, the Bears might be, say, a 7/5 favorite. If they were playing an also-ran, it might be 10/1. Well, there is a point where a line becomes prohibitive, as far as betting the favorite. And who would waste money betting an underdog that has virtually no chance? Such a setup did not contribute to promoting betting action.

But in modern sports betting, a "pointspread" is used.

A NFL pointspreads are exactly that, a pre-established point difference between the two sides that will, for all intents and purposes, create a handicap that evens things out, and in doing so, produces comparable wagering activity on both sides of that proposition. So in lieu of a odds figure in which to bet the team to win outright, the Bears might be a three-point favorite over the New York Giants, and a 17-point favorite over the also-ran. Now that the team that is the underdog can "get" points, there can be equal action on both sides.

In sportsbooks, this is usually done with efficiency by charging the losing bettors 10% extra - in effect, bettors are laying 11/10 on those games. So they are actually betting $110 to win $100. If they lose, they pay the "vig." If they win, they simply collect.

The establishment of the pointspread as the corner stone around which team sports like football can be wagered upon was truly what brought gridiron betting into the stratosphere for online football betting .

Don't believe it? Just take a look at what happens around the Super Bowl.

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