Drosselmeyer surprises to win Breeders' Cup Classic

Horseracing Betting Lines

11/05/2011 - Louisville. KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former Belmont Stakes winner Drosselmeyer came flying down the stretch to capture the $5 million Breeders' Cup Classic to conclude the 28th World Championships at Churchill Downs. Winning jockey Mike Smith notched his second Classic win in the last three editions.

The 12-horse field featured Uncle Mo, Stay Thirsty, Havre de Grace, Flat Out and this year's Belmont Stakes champ Ruler On Ice.

Game On Dude set the pace in the 1 1/8-mile Classic with Uncle Mo on his shoulder and European horse So You Think running in third. Havre de Grace was racing close to the pace and Flat Out, the 7-2 favorite, running near the back.

Around the final turn and into the stretch Uncle Mo, Game On Dude and So You Think were across the track. Flat Out began to move on the outside and Havre de Grace was also driving.

Smith got his mount clear for the drive to the wire. The four-year-old Drosselmeyer, 14-1 on the tote board, powered down the middle of the stretch and posted a one-length victory over Game On Dude with Ruler On Ice third. Havre de Grace, the lone female in the Classic and the 4-1 second choice, finished fourth and Flat Out was fifth.

The time for the race was 2:04.27.

Trained by Bill Mott, Drosselmeyer is owned by WinStar Farm. The chestnut colt picked up his fifth career win in 16 starts and it was worth $2.7 million. Second to Flat Out in the Jockey Club Gold Cup, Drosselmeyer has career winnings of more than $3.7 million.

Smith won the 2009 Classic with Zenyatta and the pair finished second last year. Smith ties Jerry Bailey with 15 Breeders' Cup career wins after a win earlier in the day for his 14th.

Drosselmeyer returned $31.60, $13.20 and $8.80. Game On Dude, also 14-1, paid $13.60 and $9.20, and 17-1 longshot Ruler On Ice paid $9.80 to show.

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Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends

We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS.  Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned.  For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go.  As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190).  Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”.   By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet.  For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction.  On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later.  Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick.  Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com

New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors

Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
 New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season. 
 
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls

Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times. 
 
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons

Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season. 
 
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers

In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS. 
 
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”.  With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit.  Also for all of you poker players, check out MySportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.

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